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Bitcoin Price Sinks 10% As Market Braces For Macro Storm Ahead

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Bitcoin price has shed 10% in a single day in an increasingly dangerous macro climate. Although the ultra-scarce cryptocurrency is claimed to be a hedge against catastrophic economic events, there is no telling how the volatile asset could react when it does finally arrive.

With the stock market on shaky ground and precious metals melting down further, is the top cryptocurrency and the rest its altcoin brethren about to experience a bleed out similar to Black Thursday? Or is this just a shakeout using nervous market sentiment over what ends up being a non-event? And which event are we referring to?

Bitcoin Price Sheds 10% Alongside Bearish Stock Market Sentiment

The cryptocurrency bull market has been cut short of expectations, causing a consolidation phase and bringing the market to a state of fear.

Related Reading | New To Bitcoin? Learn To Trade Crypto With The NewsBTC Trading Course

As if sentiment wasn’t frightened enough in crypto from the 50% collapse in May, another 20% flash crash weeks ago froze bulls and price action in place. Another try for up over this weekend was promptly rejected with another 10% fall today.

Bitcoin price sank by 10%, but has yet to produce new monthly lows | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Are corrections getting smaller, or is there something else going on that could make the 10% only the beginning of something more? A potentially dangerous macro situation could present a mixed situation for the consolidating cryptocurrency.

Dow Jones Dips As Dangerous Macro Storm Brews

Bitcoin price has already recovered more than $1,000 since the bell rang at the official Monday morning market open. The forceful selloff started overnight after the weekly close, potentially due to stock market weakness.

The macro environment is on shaky ground considering a potential catastrophic default of China’s second-largest real estate developer, Evergrande. The default has Lehman Brothers-type implications, enough to cause domino effect and potential economic collapse and recession.

The Dow Jones fell 1.87% during the same 24-hour period as Bitcoin’s 10% collapse, but given cryptocurrency’s notorious volatility the two situations are of similar magnitude. Normally stable metals have also suffered furthering the extended macro madness.

Dow Jones stock market

The Dow Jones its looking heavy | Source: DJI on TradingView.com

The Evergrande situation could ultimately turn into another scenario where an unprecedented amount of fiat currency is essentially printed to cover the debts the real estate giant can’t cover.

Bailouts were made an example by Satoshi Nakamoto, who called out such an instance in the cryptocurrency’s Genesis Block. “Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks,” the Times headline reads.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Golden Cross: Everything You Need To Know About The Bullish Signal

These bailouts saved the stock market and the economy back then, and the strategy was used again to combat COVID. Can the economy withstand another flood of capital? Or will central banks and governments be forced to step in and let it all come crashing down? Most importantly, how does Bitcoin perform in any of the above scenarios?

Follow @TonySpilotroBTC on Twitter or via the TonyTradesBTC Telegram. Content is educational and should not be considered investment advice.

Featured image from iStockPhoto, Charts from TradingView.com

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Bitcoin Exchange Balances Decline To Three-Year Low Amid Rising Prices

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Picture of bitcoins pouring out of a vault

Bitcoin exchange balances have been on the decline since the bull rally began. The volumes were expected to go up once the digital asset had hit a new all-time high in October. However, this was not the case. Previous trends have often pointed to exchange balances seeing an increase in bull markets when investors moved their holdings to exchanges in order to take profits. This bull market has defied all expectations for it and continues to do so.

Outflows from exchanges outpace inflows as investors withdraw BTC from exchanges en masse. Exchange balance volumes relative to the circulating supply of bitcoin have declined towards three-year lows. BTC exchange balances now sit at levels not seen since January 2018. This has led to a supply squeeze on exchanges, causing sell pressures to drop tremendously.

Related Reading | American Singer Mariah Carey Offers Free $20 In Bitcoin To Promote Adoption

Big Exchanges See Declining Balances

Big exchanges like Binance, Coinbase, and Huobi have seen large volumes of bitcoin withdrawn from their exchanges. Binance recorded the highest outflows for the last week with 21,000 BTC withdrawn from the crypto exchange. This is one of the sharpest declines recorded in the market.

BTC exchange balances continue to decline | Source: Arcane Research

Huobi also saw thousands of BTC leave the exchange in the past week. The past seven days save 8,000 BTC withdrawn from the cryptocurrency exchange. The outflows from the exchange culminated in a 9% drop in the volume of bitcoin held on Huobi.

These outflows are no longer surprising given that the market has continuously followed this trend for the past few months. Growing scarcity has led to mounting buy pressures as investors scramble to get their hands on as much of the digital asset as they can.

Exchanges Hold 12.94% Of Bitcoin Supply

The share of the total circulating supply held by exchanges has plummeted in October. Currently, exchanges hold 2.44 million BTC on their balances. This translates to 12.94% of the total circulating supply, a new three-year low. A total of 27,500 BTC left exchanges in the past week alone.

Related Reading | Brace For Impact: Wall Street Is Headed Straight For Bitcoin, Says Analyst

Chart trends show that the volume held by these exchanges has consistently declined as the price of bitcoin has grown. Exchange balances had peaked for the year in June after the market had experienced a crash that put an end to the bull rally in April. Sell pressures eased in the months following June, leaving room for further accumulation by investors. Investors are choosing to leave their assets in cold storage rather than moving to exchanges to take gains from the market.

Bitcoin price chart from TradingView.com

BTC trading in the mid-$58K | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Glassnode’s data shows that Coinbase holds 29% of global exchange reserves. Despite the sharp decline in its balances, Binance still holds 21% of global bitcoin exchange reserves. Gemini holds the third-largest volume with 12% of global reserves. The report however did not include balances from the crypto exchange, FTX.

Featured image from Bitcoin News, charts from Arcane Research and TradingView.com
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XRP Builds Momentum With 7% Increase As Ripple Expands

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Ripple XRP XRPUSDT

XRP has been soaring in the monthly chart with a 7.2% profit as Ripple continues to expand its corridors worldwide. As of press time, the seventh crypto by market cap trades at $1,01 and records a 10.3% correction in the daily chart.

XRP correcting in the daily chart. Source: XRPUSDT Tradingview

XRP seems to be reacting to the general trend in the market as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other cryptocurrencies in the top 10 by market cap trend to the downside. As NewsBTC has reported, the derivatives sector has been heating up due to the recent rise in the aforementioned coins.

Related Reading | SEC Takes Blow In Action Against Ripple, Will It Impact XRP Price?

Historically, this has taken a toll on the bullish momentum built by the bulls. In the case of XRP, it’s a positive sign that it has been able to sustain gains in higher timeframes.

The sentiment around XRP has flipped bullish since Ripple has been able to sustain and push back against the U.S. SEC in their case for the alleged sales of a security.

In addition, the payment corridors, one of the most important use cases for the XRPL Ledger and its native token, are recovering. These entities use Ripple’s payment solution On-Demand Liquidity (ODL), based on XRP, and were negatively impacted after the SEC filed for their legal action.

The Liquidity Index Bot, an ODL payment corridors monitor, records an increase in the daily volume for these entities. As seen below, the XRP/AUD payment corridors show some recovery after it went negative in May 2021.

Ripple XRP XRPUSDT
Source: Liquidity Index Bot via Twitter

Other payment corridors record a similar or a more significant increase. Since they are based on ODL, the volume registered by these entities is indicative of the levels of adoption for XRP and suggests the token is experiencing a re-surge in demand.

Related Reading | Ripple Surges 15% Following News That It Wants To Go Public

XRP Debuts In MENA Region, Ripple Enable More Adoption

In the coming months, the demand for the token could continue to surge as the payment solution company recently announced a partnership with Pyypl. The partners will launch a new payment corridor in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region.

Data shared by the payment company reveals that the MENA region saw $78 billion in remittances in 2020 alone. Thus, why the partnership could onboard millions to the XRPL Ledger and ODL as countries such as the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Saudi Arabia “shift to digital” payment methods.

Related Reading | Ripple Announces New Payment Corridor in Japan As XRP Rallies 23.5%, More Profits Ahead? 

The collaboration will start in the UAE to bring low-cost and instant remittances for people living in and outside the MENA region. Ripple claimed the following about the potential for the partnership:

This announcement builds on Ripple’s already growing presence in the region (…). All of this is driving a record year for Ripple in MENA, with RippleNet already logging four times the transaction volume year-to-date versus all of 2020.

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Polygon (Matic) Prices All set to Create New ATH, Prices Around $2 Level

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Polygon (Matic) Prices All set to Create New ATH, Prices Around $2 Level
  • Traders may attempt to exit long positions when Polygon is near $2.
  • A big closing over $1.87 would entice investors, alleviating selling pressure.

Polygon’s native token, MATIC, looks to be catching up with the market. By all indicators, prices may be on their way to a new all-time high. Likewise, the Polygon has broken past major resistance and is poised to hit new highs.

MATIC Price has risen over 22% in the previous four days, signaling positive momentum. Prices have climbed lately from $1.52 on October 23 to $1.86. The cryptocurrency is now trading at $1.8370, up 10.33% in the past 24 hours. $MATIC has a year-to-date ROI of +10337 percent.

For confirmation, measure the distance between the initial swing peak and the low swing peak, then multiply by $1.73 (breakout point) to arrive at a $4.32 target.

Before retesting the ATH at $2.70, Polygon will have to overcome two significant roadblocks at $2.04 and $2.22. If MATIC overcomes these challenges, it will reach $4.32. Traders may attempt to exit long positions when Polygon is near $2. Unfortunately, that might halt the upswing and prevent MATIC from breaking past that barrier and realizing its upside potential.

MATIC/USDT: Source: TradingView

The IOMAP graphic above shows the Bulls winning. At $2, just 1,280 addresses have acquired over 35.5 million MATIC. Polygon’s primary support level is $1.75.

With daily addresses increasing over the previous three months, the main spike is on its way. In addition, it seems that more cash and investors are entering the market, as the 7-day MA for active wallets has increased. To date, approximately 92 percent of all $MATIC addresses are profitable, according to ITB statistics.

The GIOM model predicts that Polygon has a single resistance at $1.87. Approximately 17.54 thousand crypto addresses bought 135 million tokens. A big closing over $1.87 would so entice investors, alleviating selling pressure. On the other hand, MATIC may so easily expand its surges. The alt will then skyrocket to $2.7 or more.

MATIC has risen by over 30% so far in October, and now, according to a Reddit debate, MATIC has handled 1 Billion transactions on the Polygon PoS chain.

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