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Will The SEC Approve A Bitcoin Futures ETF In 2021? Here Are The Implications

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Bitcoin Futures ETF

Rumors are flying. The SEC could approve a Bitcoin Futures ETF before the year ends. What does this mean? And why a Bitcoin Futures ETF before one for the asset itself? That’s what we’re here to explore. It seems like the US Security And Exchange Commission will not give the go-ahead to the mythical Bitcoin ETF just yet… or ever, but a new option has a few companies salivating. 

Related Reading | Skybridge Capital Applies For Cryptocurrency ETF And Accumulates $100 Million For ALGO Fund

But first, why is the SEC hesitant about approving the Bitcoin ETF? Investopedia responds:

“The reason is that bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency in the world by market capitalization, remains largely unregulated. Additionally, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is hesitant to allow an ETF focused on the new and largely untested cryptocurrency market to make its way to the public.”

If that’s true, what makes us think that a Bitcoin Futures ETF is not only possible, but imminent? Well, last month The SEC Chairman Gary Gensler told the Aspen Security Forum:

“I anticipate that there will be filings with regard to exchange-traded funds (ETFs) under the Investment Company Act (’40 Act). When combined with the other federal securities laws, the ’40 Act provides significant investor protections.

Given these important protections, I look forward to the staff’s review of such filings, particularly if those are limited to these CME-traded Bitcoin futures.”

Is A Bitcoin Futures ETF What US Investors Want?

Since Gary Gensler sent such a clear signal, the financial world responded in unison. 

“At least four asset managers have filed for ETFs that invest in bitcoin futures after Securities and Exchange Commission chair Gary Gensler earlier this month indicated that he could approve such funds. But investors may not want them in lieu of physically backed bitcoin ETFs, analysts have said.”

Who’s interested in ETFs, though? Well, according to Investopedia, “A bitcoin ETF mimics the price of the digital currency, allowing investors to buy into the ETF without trading bitcoin itself.” Some investors or groups simply can’t invest in bitcoin, the asset, because their own internal rules won’t allow them to. They can’t purchase bitcoin through a brokerage account. No financial institution backs it, so no one protects them. And, of course, there’s the feared volatility.

Bloomberg explains how Bitcoin fixes this:

“A Bitcoin ETF could help get around those restrictions since the format is more widely accepted. “There are all sorts of custody and regulatory hurdles for big financial institutions to jump through,” said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst at Robert W. Baird & Co. “If it were offered in an ETF, it clears a lot of that up for financial institutions.”

However, it appears that the SEC won’t approve one any time soon. Why would they approve a Bitcoin Futures ETF instead? Bloomberg continues:

“For the SEC’s purposes, Bitcoin futures also offer an additional level of security because they are governed by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and require investors to put down cash on margin to trade, as a form of collateral.”

BTC price chart 09/27/2021 on Coinbase | Source: BTC/USD on TradingView.com

Experts And Important Players Disagree

While some companies can’t wait for the Bitcoin Futures ETF to be available, others are less enthusiastic. One of those is Michael Sonnenshein, CEO of Grayscale Investments. His company is one of the many that applied for a Bitcoin ETF and are still waiting for approval. In a recent CNBC interview, he said:

“It would be shortsighted of the SEC to allow a futures-based product into the market before a spot product,” Sonnenshein told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Tuesday. “They really should be allowing both products into the market at the same time and let investors choose which way they want.” 

Related Reading | Did The SEC’s Gary Gensler Threaten Crypto And DeFi In The WaPo Interview?

Of course, he’s heavily invested in this outcome. His company’s Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is incredibly successful, but if they manage to turn it into an ETF the scale might go parabolic. However, he’s not the only one that thinks that way. In the Bloomberg article, another expert elaborated on the Bitcoin Futures ETF ‘s limitations:

“With futures-based products, you introduced additional cost, more complexity, you have futures contracts that have to be rolled,” said the ETF store’s Geraci. “It’s just a sub-optimal option for investors.”

In any case, the Bitcoin Futures ETF approval is just speculation. Gary Gensler said he looked forward to reading his staff’s review of the fillings, which is not a guarantee by any stretch of the imagination.

Featured Image by Markus Winkler from Pixabay - Charts by TradingView

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XRP Builds Momentum With 7% Increase As Ripple Expands

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Ripple XRP XRPUSDT

XRP has been soaring in the monthly chart with a 7.2% profit as Ripple continues to expand its corridors worldwide. As of press time, the seventh crypto by market cap trades at $1,01 and records a 10.3% correction in the daily chart.

XRP correcting in the daily chart. Source: XRPUSDT Tradingview

XRP seems to be reacting to the general trend in the market as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other cryptocurrencies in the top 10 by market cap trend to the downside. As NewsBTC has reported, the derivatives sector has been heating up due to the recent rise in the aforementioned coins.

Related Reading | SEC Takes Blow In Action Against Ripple, Will It Impact XRP Price?

Historically, this has taken a toll on the bullish momentum built by the bulls. In the case of XRP, it’s a positive sign that it has been able to sustain gains in higher timeframes.

The sentiment around XRP has flipped bullish since Ripple has been able to sustain and push back against the U.S. SEC in their case for the alleged sales of a security.

In addition, the payment corridors, one of the most important use cases for the XRPL Ledger and its native token, are recovering. These entities use Ripple’s payment solution On-Demand Liquidity (ODL), based on XRP, and were negatively impacted after the SEC filed for their legal action.

The Liquidity Index Bot, an ODL payment corridors monitor, records an increase in the daily volume for these entities. As seen below, the XRP/AUD payment corridors show some recovery after it went negative in May 2021.

Ripple XRP XRPUSDT
Source: Liquidity Index Bot via Twitter

Other payment corridors record a similar or a more significant increase. Since they are based on ODL, the volume registered by these entities is indicative of the levels of adoption for XRP and suggests the token is experiencing a re-surge in demand.

Related Reading | Ripple Surges 15% Following News That It Wants To Go Public

XRP Debuts In MENA Region, Ripple Enable More Adoption

In the coming months, the demand for the token could continue to surge as the payment solution company recently announced a partnership with Pyypl. The partners will launch a new payment corridor in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region.

Data shared by the payment company reveals that the MENA region saw $78 billion in remittances in 2020 alone. Thus, why the partnership could onboard millions to the XRPL Ledger and ODL as countries such as the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Saudi Arabia “shift to digital” payment methods.

Related Reading | Ripple Announces New Payment Corridor in Japan As XRP Rallies 23.5%, More Profits Ahead? 

The collaboration will start in the UAE to bring low-cost and instant remittances for people living in and outside the MENA region. Ripple claimed the following about the potential for the partnership:

This announcement builds on Ripple’s already growing presence in the region (…). All of this is driving a record year for Ripple in MENA, with RippleNet already logging four times the transaction volume year-to-date versus all of 2020.

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Polygon (Matic) Prices All set to Create New ATH, Prices Around $2 Level

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Polygon (Matic) Prices All set to Create New ATH, Prices Around $2 Level
  • Traders may attempt to exit long positions when Polygon is near $2.
  • A big closing over $1.87 would entice investors, alleviating selling pressure.

Polygon’s native token, MATIC, looks to be catching up with the market. By all indicators, prices may be on their way to a new all-time high. Likewise, the Polygon has broken past major resistance and is poised to hit new highs.

MATIC Price has risen over 22% in the previous four days, signaling positive momentum. Prices have climbed lately from $1.52 on October 23 to $1.86. The cryptocurrency is now trading at $1.8370, up 10.33% in the past 24 hours. $MATIC has a year-to-date ROI of +10337 percent.

For confirmation, measure the distance between the initial swing peak and the low swing peak, then multiply by $1.73 (breakout point) to arrive at a $4.32 target.

Before retesting the ATH at $2.70, Polygon will have to overcome two significant roadblocks at $2.04 and $2.22. If MATIC overcomes these challenges, it will reach $4.32. Traders may attempt to exit long positions when Polygon is near $2. Unfortunately, that might halt the upswing and prevent MATIC from breaking past that barrier and realizing its upside potential.

MATIC/USDT: Source: TradingView

The IOMAP graphic above shows the Bulls winning. At $2, just 1,280 addresses have acquired over 35.5 million MATIC. Polygon’s primary support level is $1.75.

With daily addresses increasing over the previous three months, the main spike is on its way. In addition, it seems that more cash and investors are entering the market, as the 7-day MA for active wallets has increased. To date, approximately 92 percent of all $MATIC addresses are profitable, according to ITB statistics.

The GIOM model predicts that Polygon has a single resistance at $1.87. Approximately 17.54 thousand crypto addresses bought 135 million tokens. A big closing over $1.87 would so entice investors, alleviating selling pressure. On the other hand, MATIC may so easily expand its surges. The alt will then skyrocket to $2.7 or more.

MATIC has risen by over 30% so far in October, and now, according to a Reddit debate, MATIC has handled 1 Billion transactions on the Polygon PoS chain.

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Helium (HNT), Cosmos (ATOM), Holo (HOT) -All Set to Create New ATH!

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Helium (HNT), Cosmos (ATOM), Holo (HOT) -All Set to Create New ATH!
  • HNT’s recent alliance with Dish Network has been a big impetus for price activity. 
  • ATOM might hit a new ATH of roughly $47.586.

After achieving fresh ATHs, Bitcoin and Ethereum seem to be out of breath. However, the market is buoyant as numerous cryptocurrencies post double-digit gains, and the star crypto gains support of approximately $60,000. Recent gains in Helium (HNT), Cosmos (ATOM), and Holo (HOT) are notable.

A crypto metric site named Santiment just published the growth of the above cryptocurrencies. The analytics tool shows a huge increase in market value for Helium, Cosmos, and Holo. Here are some price targets for these cryptocurrencies.

Helium (HNT)

Helium (HNT) is a blockchain-based platform for IoT utilities. On Tuesday, the primary altcoin nearly missed the $26.31 ATH. However, the HNT price has been consolidating around $24.15. The 4-hour chart continues to show a battle between buyers and sellers.

If enough buyers step in, the cryptocurrency might gain another 10% to 15% after regaining the prior ATH. On the other hand, if bears seize control of the market, HNT’s price might fall below $20.

HNT/USDT: Source: TradingView

However, the HNT’s recent alliance with Dish Network has been a big impetus for price activity. Traders may use compatible Helium 5g Hotspots on Dish Network to earn HNT tokens.

Cosmos (ATOM)

Cosmos (ATOM), a decentralized network that improves interoperability and scalability, has gained 10% in 24 hours. Trading volume increased by approximately 300 percent in hours. The price of ATOM has been steadily declining since reaching its previous ATH of $44.70. On the 4-hour chart, sellers outnumber purchasers.

1635364894 7 Helium HNT Cosmos ATOM Holo HOT All Set to Create
ATOM/USDT: Source: TradingView

Currently trading at $39.50, a sell-off may send ATOM down to $36.74 if it persists. The RSI value of 60.8 also implies a good consolidation period. If a large number of buyers come in during the next several hours, ATOM might hit a new ATH of roughly $47.586.

Holochain (HOT)

Holochain (HOT) is a peer-to-peer network that has recently gained considerable media attention. Huge green candles on the 4-hour chart indicate an enormous increase in investment. Recent ecosystem events have pushed the price back to September highs of $0.0125. Following large purchase orders a few hours earlier, the cryptocurrency is undergoing a little correction with hefty sell-offs.

1635364894 700 Helium HNT Cosmos ATOM Holo HOT All Set to Create
HOT/USDT: Source: TradingView

The price of Holochain (HOT) is projected to drop around $0.0095. The RSI element is green. Thus the HOT price might surpass the September high of $0.0135. As of early this week, Bitcoin dominance has declined, signaling capital leakage to rival cryptocurrencies. Moreover, the recent increase in these cryptocurrencies’ market cap confirms the start of Altseason.

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