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Ethereum Remains Supported, What Could Spark Fresh Rally

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Ethereum

Ethereum traded above $4,400 before correcting lower against the US Dollar. ETH must stay above $4,150 to start a fresh increase in the near term.

  • Ethereum started a fresh upward move above the $4,200 and $4,250 resistance levels.
  • The price is now trading above $4,200 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
  • There was a break above a key contracting triangle with resistance near $4,310 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
  • The pair could start a fresh rally if it stays above $4,200 and the 100 hourly SMA.

Ethereum Price Remains Supported

Ethereum gained pace above the $4,000 and $4,150 resistance levels. ETH even broke the $4,250 level and settled well above the 100 hourly simple moving average.

The price climbed above $4,400 and traded as high as $4,426. It is now correcting gains and traded below the $4,350 level. Ether price declined below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent increase from the $3,901 swing low to $4,426 high.

However, the bulls were active near the $4,250 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average. It is now rising and trading above $4,300.

There was a break above a key contracting triangle with resistance near $4,310 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. An initial resistance on the upside is near the $4,350 level. The first major resistance is near the $4,400 level. The next major hurdle is near the $4,520 level.

Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

A clear move above the $4,420 could send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could drift towards the $4,550 level in the near term.

Dips Limited in ETH?

If ethereum fails to start a fresh increase above the $4,350 level, it could extend its downside correction. An initial support on the downside is near the $4,300 level. The key support is now forming near the $4,250 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

If there is a clear break below the $4,250 support, the price could extend losses. The next major breakdown support is $4,150 or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent increase from the $3,901 swing low to $4,426 high, below which the price could decline towards $4,000.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACDThe MACD for ETH/USD is gaining pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSIThe RSI for ETH/USD is now well above the 50 level.

Major Support Level – $4,250

Major Resistance Level – $4,400

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Bitcoin

Bitcoin Breaks $37,000, Why Downtrend To $29,000 Is Likely

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Bear with red arrow threatening man with piggybank

Bitcoin has now broken down past $38,000 for the first time in over four months. This is a crucial point for the digital asset given that it has successfully maintained its position above this level throughout all of the crashes and dips of the previous month. While most would like to think that this is only a temporary setback that will soon be resolved, analyst Nicholas Merten has warned investors to brace for even more volatility.

Prepare For Further Downside

In a recent video on his YouTube channel, Merten shared with his over 87K subscribers some gloomy analysis surrounding bitcoin. The analyst starts out by acknowledging what most have experienced in the market, believing that the recent rebound was a telltale sign of more upside to come. However, this could not have been more wrong as the digital asset has suffered even more dips following that.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Implied Volatility Plummets To Pre-Bull Market Levels: What This Means

Merten pointed out the fact that the gains realized from when bitcoin jumped from $41k to $44k have quickly faded and that there is not a lot of significant support ranges as the digital asset makes its way down with the downtrend.

He predicts some major volatility that will drag the price down to levels not seen in about a year. Comparing the market to that of May 2020, which would see the price fall to the $29,000 range. “It’s just likely at this point that we repeat what we saw back in May to some degree,” he said. “Having a correction down to this range [$29,000 to $30,000], getting people towards what I would define as max pain It basically defines the point of peak fear when everyone, even the bulls are convinced that we’re in a bear market.”

The analysts expect more downside to the tune of 20% to 30%, which would put the price of bitcoin at the range he predicts.

BTC crumbles below $37k for first time in four months | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Still Bullish On Bitcoin

The fact that Merten relayed such a gloomy diagnosis for bitcoin in the short term does not mean that the analyst is particularly bearish in the long term. He explained that despite the market showing bearish trends, he remains a bitcoin bull.

“We’ve been bearish in the short term over the past couple of weeks and we believe that there is still more downside to go, [but] I’m still a long-term bull.”

Related Reading | I Only Hold 1 Bitcoin, Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal Reveals

Additionally, Merten reiterates the fact that the market is still in a bull trend. Usually when prices start declining as fast as they are now, panic spreads across the space as most believe the bull market is over. For Mertern, this is not the case. He explains that just as a downward correction is likely, bitcoin could very well switch up and head towards the $150K to $200K range.

“I believe that we’re still in a bull market, not a bear market. It’s very likely that we could see this correction, but at the same time, it could be the catalyst to finally set ourselves up on the next uptrend and charter towards the $150k range, $200k range for Bitcoin.”

At the time of writing, bitcoin’s price is down 9.61% to be trading at $37,945.

Featured image from Medium, chart from TradingView.com
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Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Fumbles, Loses 10.32% in Last 24 Hours!

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Bitcoin (BTC) Price Fumbles, Loses 10.32% in Last 24 Hours!