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Why Bitcoin Price Could Bounce After Today’s FOMC Meeting

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The Bitcoin price has been moving sideways over the past few days bound solely to macroeconomic factors. The benchmark cryptocurrency was rejected north of $20,000 after “The Merge” and seems poised to face volatility over today’s trading session.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin (BTC) trades at $19,200 with sideways movement in the last 24 hours and a 5% loss over the past week. As the market moves past “The Merge”, crypto has returned to its correlation with global markets and the most important factors driving the price action: inflation and interest rates.

BTC’s price moving sideways on the 4-hour chart. Source: BTCUSDT Tradingview

What To Expect For The Bitcoin Price Ahead Of The FOMC Meeting?

Later today the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) will hold its Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting where it will announce its upcoming interest rate hike. As it has happened in the past month, the crypto market is poised to see an uptick in volatility ahead of this major event.

Market participants seem to be expecting another 75 basis points increase after the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) print and the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) metrics. The results of these reports hinted at persistent core inflation in the U.S. dollar, according to trading desk QCP Capital.

The firm believes that the market will be looking at today’s interest rate hikes, the Fed’s plan for the future of its monetary policy, and its reaction to inflation. In that sense, today’s FOMC will be critical for market participants to have a deeper insight into the Fed’s strategy. The trading desk wrote:

(…) we believe the focus will be on the Dot plot. Markets will look for clear guidance on the expected number of hikes for the last 3 FOMC meetings of 2022, as well as the updated terminal rate FOMC members are forecasting for next year.

Without “The Merge” acting as a bullish catalyzer, and with Ethereum trading under a “sell the news” setup, the Bitcoin price and crypto market have flipped to extreme fear levels. This sentiment seems to be the norm across all financial sectors.

As seen below, even Gold is displaying a high correlation with risk-on assets, QCP Capital stated. The precious metal has underperformed in circumstances where Gold should be rallying, with high inflation, and a major arm conflict in Europe (Russia invading Ukraine).

Bitcoin Price Btc Btcusdt
Correlation between Gold and S&P500 (risk assets) trends to the upside. Source: QCP Capital via Twitter

Bitcoin Price Set For A Relief Rally?

Finally, QCP Capital believes the Bitcoin price and the crypto market could see some relief. If the Fed stays within market expectations, announcing a 75-bps interest rate hike, cryptocurrencies and other risks on assets could react to the upside.

As trading firm noted, every FOMC meeting in 2022 has led to a crypto relief rally, this time seems poised to move in tandem with historical data. QCP Capital added:

How long this rally lasts is another question though. Will it just be a single day short squeeze like in May and June? Or can we finally sustain some positive momentum into Q4 and the next CPI pivot in 3 weeks.

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CertiK Uncovers Suspicious $2.4M Payments Into Tornado Cash

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Certik Uncovers Suspicious $2.4M Payments Into Tornado Cash
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  • The money movement is linked to the October 2021 BXH Exchange breach.
  • GitHub reinstated the Tornado Cash code in “read-only” mode.

On Saturday, crypto security company CertiK said that it had uncovered a suspicious $2.4 million payment into the cryptocurrency mixer Tornado Cash. Information suggests the money movement is connected to the October 2021 BXH Exchange breach. It resulted in a loss of $139 million. Although the U.S. Treasury’s Office of Foreign Asset Control (OFAC) has placed sanctions on the crypto mixer. However, the exchange is still being used to move money.

The theft of over 4,000 ETH worth $139 million from the BXH Exchange at the end of October is likely connected to the transfer of funds.

Hackers Defying Sanctions

The address 0x158F5 is held by a third party and used the Binance Smart Chain and Avalanche staking contract’s privileged method to retrieve staked tokens and withdraw cash. The tokens were then transferred to Ethereum using the address.

CertiK reports that the staking contract holding the funds and locations was previously released by a Telegram group formed by persons affected by the BXH Exchange. Tokens with a bridging ERC-20 standard were converted to ETH at the address in question. To date, almost $2.4 million in value has been transferred into Tornado Cash, represented by 1865 ETH tokens.

Even after the Office of Foreign Asset Control at the U.S. Treasury banned suspicious transactions on Tornado Cash in August, the service is still accepting them. The crypto mixer platform has just received a transfer of 500 thousand DAI from EOA 0x0B789. The money transfer was associated with an exploit in DAO Maker.

After receiving confirmation from the Office of Foreign Asset Control of the United States Treasury, GitHub reinstated the Tornado Cash code in “read-only” mode.

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Whale Alert: 270 Million XRP ($130M) Bought by Whales

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Ripple (Xrp) Price Jumps To New Four-Month High
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  • The largest ever buy was on the Bitso crypto market for 54.1 million XRP.
  • XRP prices have increased by around 50% during the last week.

The native XRP token of Ripple has seen the most growth over the previous seven days. While Bitcoin and Ethereum have both had big price declines recently, XRP has seen a sharp increase. The current price increase of XRP may be attributed to a number of factors. Whales hoarding Ripple tokens is one instance.

Tokens worth around $130.2 million in XRP, almost 270M XRP have been transmitted from several cryptocurrency exchanges to many unknown addresses in the past 24 hours, according to data from Whale Alert. The largest ever buy was on the Bitso crypto market for 54.1 million XRP. Approximately $27.5 million worth of XRP coins were purchased by Whale all at once.

High Volatility Expected After Judgement

However, whales have been buying up XRP on the Bitstamp platform to the tune of nearly $84.1 million. To their XRP holdings, whales have just added more than $41.4 million over many trades. Meanwhile, a massive transaction involving 132 million XRP (about $62.1 million) was also spotted by the whale tracker.

Since the SEC and Ripple submitted their summary judgement papers, there has been a dramatic increase in the whale stockpiling of XRP tokens. The current increase was caused by new court documents. It also noted a surge in the number of active addresses holding between 1 and 10 million XRP tokens in late 2022.

On the other hand, XRP prices have increased by around 50% during the last week. Since word of the case’s resolution circulated favorably across the market, this is the result. At this moment, the price of XRP is $0.5015 as per CMC.

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California Governor Vetoes Crypto Regulation Bill

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Following Aftermath Of Recent Slump Bitpanda Announces Workforce Layoff
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