The Head of Analysis on the on-chain analytics agency CryptoQuant has defined why Bitcoin could also be susceptible to seeing an additional drawdown.

Bitcoin Is Nonetheless On Verge Of Bear Market In This Indicator

In a brand new put up on X, CryptoQuant Head of Analysis Julio Moreno has mentioned the most recent development within the Bitcoin Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator. The “Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator” from CryptoQuant is an indicator based mostly on the P&L Index.

The P&L Index combines a number of common BTC metrics associated to revenue and loss, so it sums up the market steadiness in a single worth. This indicator can verify whether or not the asset goes by a bullish or bearish interval by evaluating it in opposition to its 365-day shifting common (MA).

When the cryptocurrency breaks above its 365-day MA, it may be assumed to be inside a bull market. Equally, falling beneath this MA implies a transition towards a bear market.

The Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator, the precise metric of focus right here, exists to make this sample simpler to observe; it retains observe of the gap between the P&L Index and its 365-day MA.

Now, here’s a chart that reveals the development within the Bitcoin Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator over the previous couple of years:

As displayed within the above graph, the Bitcoin Bull-Bear Market Cycle indicator had reached excessive values throughout the value all-time excessive (ATH) earlier within the yr (coloured in pink).

At these ranges, the P&L Index has fairly the hole over its 365-day MA, so the cryptocurrency’s bull rally has turn out to be overheated. The graph reveals that the metric additionally gave this sign on a number of different events throughout the previous two years, and every time, the asset’s value reached the highest.

Nonetheless, these earlier tops weren’t sufficient to carry the market again in the long run, because the Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator continued to take care of contained in the bull territory (shaded in orange), the place the P&L Index is above its 365-day MA.

Nonetheless, bull market momentum has lastly proven indicators of working out, with the indicator even briefly plunging into the bear territory (gentle blue) throughout the current value crash.

Whereas the metric has recovered again into the bull area with the surge that BTC’s value has noticed, it’s nonetheless very near the impartial mark, that means it might doubtlessly sink again into the bearish zone shortly. Based mostly on this development, Moreno notes that BTC might nonetheless danger seeing an additional correction.

BTC Value

Bitcoin has seen its restoration stall lately, as its value continues to be buying and selling across the $58,500 mark.