Tag Archives: gold

Bitcoin On Brink Of Breakout Like Gold In 2008: Hedge Fund CEO

Within the newest version of the Capriole Investments publication dated August 20, 2024, Charles Edwards, founder and CEO, attracts hanging parallels between the present market habits of Bitcoin and the historic efficiency of Gold, notably throughout its 2008 rally.

Bitcoin Mirrors 2008 Gold Rush

Edwards factors out that Bitcoin has been consolidating round $60K, echoing the sample Gold adopted earlier than its vital rally. “Bitcoin is beneath stress, mirroring the longest interval of consolidation at any ATH in its historical past,” Edwards notes, suggesting that this could possibly be a precursor to a major breakout. In response to him, this sample intently mirrors that of Gold within the late 2000s, when it consolidated for 9 months round its 1980 ATH earlier than launching a major two-year rally in 2008.

Edwards elaborates on the technical similarities, noting, “Gold’s first vital consolidation post-ETF launch preceded a rally that noticed its worth climb by 180% in simply over two years. As we speak, Bitcoin reveals comparable market habits within the aftermath of its personal ETF launches and consolidations.”

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Edwards notes that in Gold’s consolidation part in 2008, the asset underwent a -33% drawdown, ultimately marking what many buyers take into account a generational backside. Bitcoin’s latest dip to $48,000—a -33% crash—strikingly aligns with this side of Gold’s historic worth motion. “The July 2024 Bitcoin dip noticed a -28% drop to $53K, and the more moderen August 2024 dip mirrored Gold’s ultimate plunge, falling a mere half a p.c quick,” Edwards states, highlighting the precision of those parallels.

Gold consolidation at 2008 ATH vs. Bitcoin consolidation at 2021 ATH | Supply: Capriole Investments

Based mostly on these historic parallels, Edwards predicts that Bitcoin worth could possibly be “ripping straight to $140K with no dips by round Might 2025.” Whereas he acknowledges {that a} single datapoint doesn’t imply that gold’s historical past has to repeat for Bitcoin, he believes that it’s “probably the most comparable asset on the most comparable time in its historical past.”

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Regardless of the bullish sign from the historic and technical evaluation, Edwards stays solely cautiously optimistic. He acknowledges ongoing discrepancies in basic information indicators and suggests a conservative stance till additional bullish confirmations will be noticed.

“We’re nonetheless awaiting the Month-to-month shut; the conservative place can be to await additional bullish confirmations (and doubtlessly This fall) to totally clear what is usually probably the most bearish interval of every calendar 12 months for Bitcoin and danger belongings,” Edwards notes.

If Bitcoin can shut above the month-to-month help, Edwards sees a “very engaging technical setup.” He concludes, “I imagine this era of market consolidation is coming to a detailed as we exit summer time, and I keep robust conviction that the following 12 months would be the greatest day trip of the final 3 years to be allotted to this asset class.”

At press time, BTC traded at $60,712.

Bitcoin price
Bitcoin worth reclaims $60,000, 1-day chart | Supply: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com

Featured picture created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Analyst Predicts Potential Dip To $52,000

As the value motion of Bitcoin continues to draw crypto buyers’ curiosity, Michael Van De Poppe, a widely known market analyst and dealer in a bearish situation has made a worrying prediction, warning the neighborhood of a possible drop in worth for the crypto asset to the $52,000 stage.

Bitcoin Poised For A Potential Decline

Michael Van De Poppe’s prognosis explores the elements which can be driving the gloomy view of Bitcoin‘s worth trajectory, within the midst of market turbulence and uncertainty.

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Van De Poppe affirms that the most important crypto asset by market cap is at present on the vary low. For Bitcoin to keep up the vary and the upward momentum to persist, that is technically the area it ought to most likely maintain.

Potential drop to $52,000 | Supply: Michael Van De Poppe on X

Ought to the asset fail to maintain this place, Van De Poppe anticipates a possible motion on the draw back sooner or later. Thus, he has positioned his worth targets at $55,000 and even additional towards the $52,000 threshold.

The submit learn:

Bitcoin is on the vary low. That is technically the world the place you’d desire to see it maintain, so the upward momentum continues, and the vary holds. If this doesn’t maintain, then we would anticipate $52-55K as a possible low on this correction.

Van De Poppe beforehand identified that Bitcoin is steadily shifting near the decrease bounds of the vary, to be able to check assist round $62,250 stage. Consequently, it seems seemingly that BTC will hold shifting towards the upside, following the breakout of the assist stage.

Nevertheless, for the reason that not too long ago concluded Bitcoin Halving occasion, boredom has set in, suggesting a doable worth decline. Thus, ought to a correction on the draw back ultimately happen, $52,000 and $55,000 are the 2 ranges Van De Poppe expects BTC to drop to. Regardless of the unfavorable outlook for BTC, the crypto knowledgeable up to now has urged buyers to accumulate extra of the coin.

Reverse Sentiment On BTC’s Funding

Whereas Poppe solicits buyers to speculate extra in BTC, crypto critic and gold advocate Peter Schiff, then again, has urged buyers not to take action. As an alternative, Schiff has highlighted a doable impending huge rally for property like Gold, Silver, and mining shares.

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He claims that the charts and the basics have by no means appeared this promising. Because of this, Schiff implored buyers to interact extra with these property, saying Bitcoin is lifeless cash and holders ought to promote earlier than it’s buried. “Make the most of what might be the most important treasured metals bull market in historical past,” Schiff added.

As of as we speak, Bitcoin’s worth has proven resilience, fueling optimism of an upward motion. BTC has recovered the $63,000 worth stage as soon as once more after falling to almost $60,700 on Thursday.

The digital asset is buying and selling at $63,077, indicating a 3% rise within the final 24 hours. Knowledge from CoinMarketCap reveals that each the market cap and buying and selling quantity have additionally elevated by 3.10% and 5.52%, respectively, prior to now day.

Bitcoin
BTC buying and selling at $62,960 on the 1D chart | Supply: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured picture from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com