2025 Oscar Nomination Predictions via Feinberg Forecast

A be aware from Scott: Now that the Venice, Telluride and Toronto movie festivals are within the rearview mirror, and with the New York, Hamptons, Newport Seashore and Savannah movie festivals simply across the nook, I’ve determined to replace my charts to replicate current developments — and to incorporate 5 classes that weren’t within the prior model, finest cinematography, costume design, movie modifying, authentic rating and manufacturing design.

Because the final check-in, particular honors have been bestowed in Venice upon Sony Classics’ The Room Subsequent Door (finest movie, the primary main fest honor ever received by Pedro Almodóvar), A24’s The Brutalist (finest director Brady Corbet) and A24’s Babygirl (finest actress Nicole Kidman); and Toronto attendees voted to present their fest’s viewers award to Mike Flanagan’s The Lifetime of Chuck. Emilia Pérez and Anora positioned second and third.

In different information, the most well liked gross sales title on the fall fests, September 5, landed at Paramount, as we have been the primary to report, which might have main implications for the race (see under). The discharge of Clint Eastwood’s subsequent movie, Juror No. 2, was moved up by Warner Bros. from 2025 into 2024. The celebs of Common’s Depraved, we discovered, will not be going head-to-head this season — Cynthia Erivo can be pushed within the lead actress class, Ariana Grande in supporting. And Demi Moore was the toast of the city on Monday night time following the L.A. premiere of Coralie Fargeat’s The Substance, which occurs to be my private favourite film of the yr thus far.

Lastly, a shoutout to Kidman, who needed to miss the Venice awards ceremony and all of TIFF as a result of passing of her mom, however was the shock visitor at a Q&A that I moderated following Babygirl’s first L.A. screening, at CAA, on Saturday night time. The night attracted a full home filled with the likes of Brad Pitt, Olivia Wilde and Catherine Hardwicke, who confirmed up anticipating to see the movie and a Q&A with filmmaker Halina Reijn, however went nuts when Kidman got here out as properly — an indication, I believe, of how they really feel about Kidman’s efficiency and her.

Please bear in mind: You possibly can bookmark this URL and return to it at any time to see my newest picks — I intend to replace it as soon as every week, normally on Mondays. Consider me like a meteorologist — my purpose is to appropriately predict what will occur, to not advocate for what I believe ought to occur. My picks are arrived at by screening movies, consulting with voters, analyzing campaigns and finding out outcomes of previous seasons. I don’t rank issues that I’ve not seen, as a result of doing so is simply foolish. And now for my present forecast…