Tier rankings
Tier Ω (Generational abilities)
N/A
Tier S (Projected prompt franchise participant)
N/A
Tier A (Inconceivable franchise cornerstones; seemingly high-end, high-impact rotation gamers)
1. Alex Sarr, PF/C, Perth (NBL)
2. Donovan Clingan, C, UConn
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3. Reed Sheppard, G, Kentucky
4. Ron Holland, Wing, GL Ignite
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5. Matas Buzelis, F, GL Ignite
6. Nikola Topić, PG, Purple Star (Serbia)
7. Rob Dillingham, G, Kentucky
8. Zacharrie Risacher, Wing, JL Bourg (France)
Tier B (Excessive ceiling with uncommon expertise/ability/bodily combos, however decrease flooring)
9. Isaiah Collier, PG, USC
10. Kyle Filipowski, PF/C, Duke
11. Tyler Smith, PF, GL Ignite
12. Devin Carter, G, Windfall
13. Terrence Shannon Jr., Guard/Wing, Illinois
14. Zach Edey, C, Purdue
Tier C (Good rotational bets — might be starter/might be strong off bench/might be mid journeymen/might stink)
15. Bub Carrington, G, Pittsburgh
16. Dalton Knecht, Wing, Tennessee
17. Ajay Mitchell, G, UCSB
18. Cody Williams, Wing, Colorado
19. Stephon Fort, Guard/Wing, UConn
20. Melvin Ajinça, Wing, San Quentin (France)
21. Kelel Ware, C, Indiana
22. Jaylen Wells, Guard/Wing, Washington State
23. Isaiah Crawford, Wing, Louisiana Tech
24. Adem Bona, C, UCLA
25. Tristan Da Silva, Wing, Colorado
26. Daron Holmes, C, Dayton
27. Nikola Djurisic, Guard/Wing, KK Mega (Serbia)
28. Jared McCain, G, Duke
29. Baylor Scheierman, Wing, Creighton
30. Yves Missi, C, Baylor
31. Johnny Furphy, Wing, Kansas
32. Jakobe Walter, G, Baylor
33. Pacome Dadiet, Wing, Ulm (Germany)
34. Tidjane Salaun, F, Cholet (France)
Bubble Tier (Simply exterior first-rounder high quality)
35. Jaylon Tyson, Wing, California
36. Jon Mogbo, C/PF, San Francisco
37. Kevin McCullar Jr, Wing, Kansas
38. KJ Simpson
39. Tyler Kolek
40. Ryan Dunn
41. Kyshawn George
42. Justin Edwards
43. Ulrich Chomche
44. Enrique Freeman
45. Jamal Shead
46. Pelle Larsson
47. Cam Spencer
Rankings with ideas, questions and tier comparisons
Tier Ω
Previous examples: Victor Wembanyama, Zion Williamson, Anthony Davis, Luka Dončić
N/A for 2024
Tier S
Previous examples: Deandre Ayton, Cade Cunningham, LaMelo Ball, Markelle Fultz, Chet Holmgren, Scoot Henderson, Trae Younger, Jaren Jackson Jr.
N/A for 2024
Tier A
Previous examples: Brandon Miller, Paolo Banchero, Jaden Ivey, Anthony Edwards, Killian Hayes (!), Josh Giddey, RJ Barrett, Moses Mody, AJ Griffin, Tari Eason, Franz Wagner, Scottie Barnes, Mikal Bridges, Desmond Bane
1. Alex Sarr
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I nonetheless assume his scoring upside is underrated regardless of him solely taking pictures a fairly inefficient shot weight-reduction plan for a 7-foot-1 phenom with motion abilities. Jogs my memory of Evan Mobley if he weren’t a defensive savant. Hater-ish as that sounds, nonetheless adequate for 1A/1B in 2024, and his potential scoring ceiling provides him the tiebreaker over Clingan.
2. Donovan Clingan
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Have had him within the high three since lengthy earlier than he was mocked high three. Connecticut didn’t even make the most of his roll-man abilities or dribble handoff hub abilities a lot, and he’s not even robust for his dimension . . . but.
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3. Reed Sheppard
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I do assume he generally is a true blue major ball-handler and initiator in time, not not like the event made by Immanuel Quickley. Excellent athlete downhill, and I purchase his capacity to create separation, use screencraft and retain defensive worth by way of off-ball abilities.
4. Ron Holland
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5. Matas Buzelis
6. Nikola Topić
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I’m anxious about having him this excessive due to the combination of damage, shaky protection and shaky taking pictures. The downhill stuff is particular, although, and the issues he’s nice at (accelerating; ending with contact; reside dribble passing) all complement one another.
7. Rob Dillingham
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To return top-5 to top-10ish worth as a brilliant quick king, it’s important to be both close to Trae degree on offense or inexplicably strong on protection like Mike Conley. Unsure Dillingham can do both. Wouldn’t blame normal managers for fading him, however sooner or later good turns into the enemy of nice.
8. Zacharrie Risacher
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Have come round on Risacher as a result of I feel his protection can work very properly, if a crew makes use of him to protect down, e.g. like Philadelphia used Nic Batum and Kelly Oubre on Jalen Brunson, as an alternative of guarding gamers of comparable top. Necessary developmental context variable. Additionally wants, ideally, a spot the place he can get his 3s/100 as much as double digits ASAP.
Tier B
Previous examples: Dereck Full of life Jr., Anthony Black, Wendell Carter Jr., Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Patrick Willams, Tyrese Maxey, Devin Vassell, Cam Johnson, Keegan Murray, Jalen Duren, Bennedict Mathurin, Shaedon Sharpe, Gorgui Dieng
9. Isaiah Collier
10. Kyle Filipowski
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I’ve Flip excessive not simply due to his diverse skillset, however as a result of I feel his protection on the 4 and 5 is genuinely underrated – he’ll be capable to win with fast palms, energy and positioning as an impression rotational huge. Additionally assume he’s higher at taking pictures than his three-point proportion signifies, as he shot poorly on unguarded catch-and-shoot threes and properly on guarded ones; often that’s small pattern noise, and would drag his accuracy down a couple of factors. If he shot 38% as an alternative of 35% from deep, no person is mocking him on the finish of the primary.
11. Tyler Smith
12. Devin Carter
13. Terrence Shannon Jr.
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He’s ranked extremely as a result of I feel he’s actually good on each ends of the ground. The worst half about his trial is that the worst individuals on earth who faux sexual assault isn’t completely rampant in every single place and particularly on campuses will use him as a vindication for his or her absurd, backwards amoralist views. Judging from the case it looks as if he was very seemingly within the clear, I simply hate that so many terrible people are actually going to weaponize the trial to typically make issues a lot worse for girls.
14. Zach Edey
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That is my coward’s compromise rating. I used to assume he wasn’t a primary rounder as a result of typically I’m utterly out on poor defensive pick-and-roll facilities and I feel his PnR protection presently sucks. That being stated, his offensive recreation is greater than NBA-ready and I can’t see it not working properly. If the protection can get to satisfactory, he most likely has the very best upside within the class.
Tier C
Previous examples: Anfernee Simons, Corey Kispert, Davion Mitchell, Deni Avdija, Sekou Doumbouya, Naz Little, Immanuel Quickley,Isaiah Joe, Kessler Edwards, Malachi Flynn, Zeke Nnaji, Leandro Bolmaro, Ty Terry, Day’Ron Sharpe, Rokas Jokubaitis, Isaiah Livers, Ayo Dosunmu, Christian Braun, Saddiq Bey, Isaiah Stewart, Treasured Achiuwa, Jake LaRavia, Nikola Jović, Vince Williams Jr.
This huge-ass group from 13 to 37 are the remaining gamers I think about first-rounders. Sure, regardless of this being a weak draft I think about the tip of the primary spherical very deep with potential rotation gamers – a.okay.a. first-rounders. Paradoxically, the draft isn’t weak due to these guys, however as a result of it lacks elite top-end expertise. That distinction issues.
15. Bub Carrington
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I did a two-and-a-half hour pod with Chuck of the Chucking Darts draft pod that utterly moved me on Bub. He’s not with out flaws, however an enormous taking pictures self-creating level guard is a worthwhile guess. Being within the ninetieth percentile within the nation as a PnR participant – together with passes, per Synergy – is an unbelievable stat for an 18-year-old.
16. Dalton Knecht
17. Ajay Mitchell
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Haven’t offered any Ajay inventory. The combo of his ankle accidents and excessive utilization lead me to assume he has extra athletic pop and defensive depth within the tank, and I’m not anxious in any respect about growing his 3-point quantity.
18. Cody Williams
19. Stephon Fort
20. Melvin Ajinça
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I get the issues about non-3-point offense, however he’s the perfect perimeter defender within the class, an elite shooter and 6-foot-8. And has closeout counters from three.
21. Kel’el Ware
22. Jaylen Wells
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After adjusting to the physicality of D-I hoops for a month, he was fairly elite. Although he doesn’t have essentially the most stellar athletic instruments on both finish, he’s extremely self-aware of easy methods to maximize what he has instruments on each. Tremendous-smart participant; I feel I’ll look again on this and discover it approach too low.
(For what it’s price, the above group from 13-21 is simply the toughest tier to type)
23. Isaiah Crawford
24. Adem Bona
25. Tristan Da Silva
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I got here round on him regardless of his lack of physicality on protection and the glass as a result of he was a lot faster than I assumed. If a crew lets him guard down moderately than up, they’ll get a ready-made playoff rotation man sooner moderately than later.
26. DaRon Holmes
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I don’t purchase him being adequate on protection. And I do not assume he’ll get to convey the ball up, run PnR and do all that Mickey Mouse NCAA shit he did at Dayton. However he’s nonetheless acquired expertise and athleticism.
27. Nikola Đurišić
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His finest abilities are his passing and drawing fouls, however I do not know if he’ll be threatening sufficient on offense to leverage these. If he can, I am going to have been too low on him.
28. Jared McCain
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Nice shooter and underrated ballhandler I feel he generally is a legit, impression third guard. Simply don’t ever see the protection being enough – that being stated, there’s a robust argument he and Dillingham shouldn’t be 20 spots aside.
29. Baylor Scheierman
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Nice faculty participant, however small margins on protection and sub-elite Kispert/Sam Hauser/Cam Johnson-level taking pictures make me surprise if the concept is best than the truth. Undoubtedly price a guess from a playoff crew.
30. Yves Missi
31. Johnny Furphy
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Wing dimension is sweet. Taking pictures versatility actually missing for somebody with out plus-plus athleticism or dribbling abilities, although. Assume individuals are projecting athleticism, deal with improvement and shot versatility improvement onto him too generously.
32. Ja’Kobe Walter
33. Pacome Dadiet
34. Tidjane Salaun
Bubble Tier
This part might be longer, however that is the listing of second-round-y guys I care about. You can have a first-roundish grade on any of them and I wouldn’t complain an excessive amount of – if a crew likes their effort, character, work ethic, and so on., they may completely be price late first-round picks. They don’t seem to be with out actual items.
35. Jaylon Tyson
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Used to have him close to lotto, however everytime I re-watched his protection my God. It’s so, so, so dangerous.
36. Jon Mogbo
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Has some wonderful items, however to appreciate them within the NBA he both must each shoot properly and be capable to defend 4s and wings, since he received’t be a middle. He could properly do one, however hasn’t proven he can do both, and assuming he does both, a lot much less each, is simply too lengthy a leap for me.
37. Kevin McCullar Jr.
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A prospect with small margins attributable to age earlier than, then damage dropped him down additional. I don’t purchase the shot and I feel his protection went from elite to ‘’simply good’’ as a senior. I fear he can’t get again to elite attributable to elevated dimension/mass.
38. KJ Simpson
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Much like McCain and Tyler Kolek when it comes to monster manufacturing, with a extra well-rounded offense attributable to some actual hops. I nonetheless light him as a result of I don’t see how he retains defensive worth, ever, at 6-foot-1.
39. Tyler Kolek
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Many on the internets love Kolek. He’s immensely productive, however he’s additionally 23, 6-foot-2 with a 6-foot-3 wingspan and has but to indicate proficiency taking pictures pull-ups. To me, these pink flags outweigh his inexperienced ones: passing; really feel; catch-and-shoot jumper; floater; motor.
40. Ryan Dunn
41. Kyshawn George
42. Justin Edwards
43. Ulrich Chomche
44. Enrique Freeman