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Maps: Tracking Hurricane Milton – The New York Times

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1 month ago

October 7, 2024

Maps: Tracking Hurricane Milton - The New York Times

Milton was a Class 1 hurricane within the Gulf of Mexico Sunday night Jap time, the Nationwide Hurricane Middle mentioned in its newest advisory.

The hurricane had sustained wind speeds of 85 miles per hour.

All occasions on the map are Jap. By The New York Occasions

The place is flooding attainable?

Storm surge is the ocean water pushed ashore by the storm’s winds and has traditionally been the main explanation for loss of life from hurricanes. If the surge happens throughout excessive tide, it will possibly have far-reaching results.

Areas:

Potential storm surge flooding

The place will it rain?

Flash flooding can happen nicely inland and away from the storm’s heart. Even weaker storms can produce extreme rainfall that may flood low-lying areas.

Supply: Nationwide Climate Service By The New York Occasions

What does the storm appear to be from above?

Satellite tv for pc imagery may help decide the energy, dimension and cohesion of a storm. The stronger a storm turns into, the extra possible an eye fixed will kind within the heart. When the attention appears to be like symmetrical, that always means the storm isn’t encountering something to weaken it.

Milton is the thirteenth named storm to kind within the Atlantic in 2024.

In late Could, the Nationwide Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted that there can be 17 to 25 named storms this 12 months, an above-normal quantity.

This season follows an excessively lively 12 months, with 20 named storms — together with an early storm later given the official identify of “Unnamed.” It was the eighth 12 months in a row to surpass the typical of 14 named storms. Just one hurricane, Idalia, made landfall in the US.

Sometimes, the El Niño sample that was in drive final season would have suppressed hurricanes and decreased the variety of storms in a season. However in 2023, the nice and cozy ocean temperatures within the Atlantic blunted El Niño’s common impact of thwarting storms.

The nice and cozy ocean temperatures that fueled final 12 months’s season returned even hotter in the beginning of this season, elevating forecasters’ confidence that there can be extra storms this 12 months. The heightened sea floor temperatures may additionally strengthen storms extra quickly than common.

To make issues worse, the El Niño sample current final 12 months can also be diminishing, most probably making a extra appropriate ambiance for storms to kind and intensify.

Hurricanes want a peaceful setting to kind, and, within the Atlantic, a powerful El Niño will increase the quantity of wind shear — a change in wind velocity and/or route with peak — which disrupts a storm’s capacity to coalesce. With out El Niño this 12 months, clouds usually tend to tower to the tall heights wanted to maintain a robust cyclone.

Sources and notes

Monitoring map Monitoring knowledge is from the Nationwide Hurricane Middle. The map reveals possibilities of at the very least 5 p.c. The forecast is for as much as 5 days, with that point span beginning as much as three hours earlier than the reported time that the storm reaches its newest location. Wind velocity chance knowledge isn’t accessible north of 60.25 levels north latitude.

Wind arrivals desk Arrival occasions are generated from a New York Occasions evaluation of Nationwide Hurricane Middle knowledge. Geographic places use knowledge from the U.S. Census Bureau and Pure Earth. Time zones are based mostly on Google. The desk reveals predicted arrival occasions of sustained, damaging winds of 58 m.p.h. or extra for choose cities with an opportunity of such winds reaching them. If damaging winds attain a location, there isn’t any greater than a ten p.c likelihood that they’ll arrive earlier than the “earliest affordable” time and a 50 p.c likelihood they’ll arrive earlier than the “most probably” time.

Radar map Radar imagery is from the Nationwide Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration by way of Iowa State College. These mosaics are generated by combining particular person radar stations that comprise the NEXRAD community.

Storm surge map Storm surge knowledge is from the Nationwide Hurricane Middle. Forecasts solely embody the US Gulf and Atlantic coasts, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. The precise areas that would change into flooded could differ from the areas proven on this map. This map accounts for tides, however not waves and never flooding brought on by rainfall. The map additionally contains intertidal areas, which routinely flood throughout typical excessive tides.

Satellite tv for pc map Imagery is from the Nationwide Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and Japanese Meteorological Company by way of the Cooperative Institute for Analysis within the Environment.

Precipitation map Information for multi-day forecasts or noticed rainfall totals are from the Nationwide Climate Service. The 1-day forecast is from the Nationwide Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.