Offaly weatherman debunks Ireland Hurricane Kirk threat as he gives forecast update

An Offaly-based climate forecaster has debunked studies of a hurricane heading to Eire over the subsequent few days.

Cathal Nolan from Eire’s Climate Channel was responding to media studies suggesting the remnants of Hurricane Kirk, at the moment over the Atlantic, might hit Eire.

One report instructed the tropical storm was “coming for Eire” however Cathal has poured some chilly water on the dramatic headlines.

Responding on social media, he mentioned: “And so it begins. Simply to make it very clear, Tropical Storm Kirk is predicted to turn into a Main Hurricane between now and the weekend earlier than it takes a flip to the Northeast the place it will likely be picked up by the jet stream and head in direction of Europe. That a lot we’re positive of.

“Nevertheless, there may be nearly no certainty that this Hurricane, which by then might be an extra-tropical storm will impression Eire and we actually can’t predict what areas this storm would impression as claimed within the headline above. There’s merely an excessive amount of uncertainty to have any certainty simply but.

READ NEXT: Met Éireann in short climate shock earlier than ‘extra low stress’ in brutal twist

“This actually is emphasised by this morning’s ECMWF and GFS mannequin runs which now present the system being negatively impacted by a growing northeasterly airflow, dropping its momentum and by no means reaching Eire or Europe because it simply spins itself out within the Atlantic. Is that this mannequin run true? It might be.

“Once more, what’s sure is that we are able to’t make sure. Over the subsequent week the fashions will proceed to oscillate and alter between numerous situations, with a number of outcomes all possible at numerous factors. We will solely preserve updated with this occasions and touch upon them for what they’re and attempt to set up patterns or developments.

“I’ll have extra updates on Hurricane Kirk all through the subsequent week. However my take house message could be to please don’t be apprehensive about this storm, which can by no means even attain our neck of the woods,” he concluded.

In an earlier submit on Monday, Cathal described the climate system as “one we have to watch.”

“Night GFS fashions proceed to indicate what’s at the moment Tropical Melancholy Quantity 12, which is able to turn into a Main Hurricane (Cat 3 or above) earlier than weakening, in our neighborhood in little over a weeks time.

“That is mild years away by way of offering a meteorological forecast for such tropical storms, however… it’s actually a storm we have to pay very shut consideration to on this facet of the Atlantic.”

In the meantime, Met Éireann is predicting some settled climate for Eire earlier than one other low stress u-turn brings extra unsettled climate from the Atlantic on the weekend.

The nationwide forecaster’s newest replace predicts the week to be “largely dry and settled at first” earlier than “turning extra unsettled for the weekend.”

They are saying Tuesday might be “largely dry with loads of sunshine and only a few remoted mild showers. Highest temperatures of 13 to 16 levels in average northerly winds.

“Will probably be dry with largely clear skies on Tuesday night time. Lowest temperatures of 4 to eight usually however a bit milder on the east coast with average northeast breezes.”

The forecast continues respectable for the remainder of the week earlier than the weekend’s massive change.

“One other brilliant and largely dry day on Wednesday with plenty of sunshine and simply scattered cloud. Highest temperatures of 13 to 16 levels in average easterly winds. Dry and largely clear on Wednesday night time. Lowest temperatures usually starting from 6 to 9 levels with mild easterly breezes,” Met Éireann predicts.

“Thursday is predicted to be a usually dry day with a mixture of cloud and sunny spells. Nevertheless, there may be the possibility of some showers growing within the southwest later within the day. Highest temperatures of 13 to 16 levels in average southeast winds. Cloudy and moderately breezy on Thursday night time with the possibility of some mild showers within the south and west however it will likely be dry elsewhere. Lowest temperatures of 9 to 12 levels in freshening southerly winds.

“Breezy on Friday with loads of cloud and rain is more likely to develop within the south and west by night time. Most temperatures of 14 to 17 levels in recent and gusty southerly winds.

“It seems to be set to be a moderately unsettled weekend with low stress within the Atlantic feeding in bands of rain and showers at instances.” This follows final weekend’s brutal stormy circumstances that led to large rainfall and flooding, largely within the south of the nation.