Neil Parker
• Betting Analyst
16+ years betting experience
Updated:
Mar 12, 2026 , 11:58 AM ET
• 3 min read
Parker’s prediction: Goals will be at a premium at Scotiabank Arena tonight
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Toronto Maple Leafs goalie Joseph Woll.
The Toronto Maple Leafs welcome the Anaheim Ducks to Scotiabank Arena on Thursday, March 12, and the two teams couldn’t be heading in more opposite directions.
Anaheim is scorching hot and pushing for a postseason berth, while Toronto is punching the clock to end a lost season.
My top Ducks vs. Maple Leafs predictions and NHL picks call for a low-scoring bout tonight.
Ducks vs Maple Leafs prediction
Ducks vs Maple Leafs best bet: Under 6.5 (+105)
The Toronto Maple Leafs have been under attack for poor defensive play and have surrendered a league-high 4.2 goals per game during their active 4-12-4 stretch.
As a result, we’re landing a fair price for this Under because Toronto has also only scored 2.5 goals per game during the slump, and the Maple Leafs are running into the sneaky Anaheim Ducks and red-hot starter Lukas Dostal.
Dostal has posted a solid .904 save percentage with a league-high 16.23 goals saved above expected across his past 15 starts, which includes a .939 SV% on the highway.
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Ducks vs Maple Leafs same-game parlay
The Maple Leafs have also allowed the most shots per game (33.8) during the highlighted slump, while the Ducks have averaged a healthy 29.3 during the same stretch, so I’m anticipating Joseph Woll to be busy.
In addition to making 28 or more saves in six of his past nine starts, Woll was particularly sharp Tuesday against the Canadiens with 30 stops and 1.79 goals saved above expected.
The final leg of this same-game parlay turns to Toronto winger William Nylander, who has recorded three or more shots in seven of his past 11 games while logging a healthy 19:26 of ice time per night.
Ducks vs Maple Leafs SGP
- Under 6.5
- Joseph Woll Over 27.5 saves
- William Nylander Over 2.5 shots
Ducks vs Maple Leafs odds
- Moneyline: Ducks -105 | Maple Leafs -115
- Puck Line: Ducks +1.5 (-245) | Maple Leafs -1.5 (+200)
- Over/Under: Over 6.5 (-125) | Under 6.5 (+105)
Ducks vs Maple Leafs trend
The Anaheim Ducks have hit the Under in five of their last six games (+4.10 Units / 63% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Ducks vs. Maple Leafs.
How to watch Ducks vs Maple Leafs
| Location | Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON |
| Date | Thursday, March 12, 2026 |
| Puck drop | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | TSN4 |
Ducks vs Maple Leafs latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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