UConn vs. San Diego State odds, score prediction: 2024 NCAA Tournament picks, Sweet 16 bets by proven model

The reigning champion UConn Huskies will look to remain sizzling once they sq. off towards the San Diego State Aztecs in a rematch of final season’s title sport on Thursday at TD Backyard in Boston. The highest-seeded Huskies (33-3) enter the Candy 16 of the 2024 NCAA Event having gained 9 straight video games and 23 of their final 24. UConn’s common margin of victory within the 2024 NCAA Event has been 28.0 factors per sport. In the meantime, the No. 5 seed Aztecs (26-10) will likely be searching for revenge after shedding to UConn in final season’s nationwide title sport. Thursday’s winner will face both Iowa State or Illinois on Saturday for a spot within the Closing 4. 

Tipoff is scheduled for 7:39 p.m. ET. The Huskies are favored by 11.5 factors within the newest UConn vs. San Diego State odds through SportsLine consensus, whereas the over/underneath for complete factors scored is 136.5. Earlier than making any San Diego State vs. UConn picks, it is advisable to take a look at the faculty basketball evaluation from the SportsLine Projection Mannequin. 

The mannequin simulates each Div. I faculty basketball sport 10,000 instances. It enters the Candy 16 spherical of the 2024 NCAA match on a 152-109 roll on all top-rated faculty basketball picks relationship again to final season, returning greater than $1,800 for $100 gamers. It additionally has a robust 32-21 (+890) document on top-rated unfold picks this season, and it referred to as 13 Candy 16 groups this yr. Anybody following it has seen big returns.

Now, the mannequin has set its sights on UConn vs. San Diego State and simply locked in its March Insanity predictions. You may go to SportsLine now to see the mannequin’s picks. Listed here are a number of faculty basketball odds and betting traces and developments for San Diego State vs. UConn:

• UConn vs. San Diego State unfold: Huskies -11.5
• UConn vs. San Diego State over/underneath: 136.5 factors
• UConn vs. San Diego State cash line: Huskies -762, Aztecs +525
• UCONN: The Huskies rank second within the nation in scoring margin (+17.7 factors per sport).
• SDSU: The Aztecs are fifteenth within the nation in discipline purpose proportion protection (40.3).
• UConn vs. San Diego State picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why UConn can cowl

The Huskies have arguably the most effective backcourt within the nation in Tristen Newton and Cam Spencer. Newton, a first-team All-American, leads the staff in scoring (15.3) and assists (6.2) per sport. In the meantime, Spencer leads the staff in steals (1.42 per sport) and is second on the staff in scoring (14.4). Spencer can also be capturing 44.0% on 3-pointers, which ranks fifth within the nation.

As well as, UConn has been taking part in glorious protection all season. The Huskies quit simply 63.9 factors per sport, which leads the Large East and ranks twelfth within the nation. In response to Ken Pomeroy’s adjusted defensive effectivity metric, the Huskies quit 93.5 factors per 100 possessions, which ranks eighth in Div. I. See which staff to again at SportsLine. 

Why San Diego State can cowl

The Aztecs have one of many nation’s greatest scorers in senior Jaedon LeDee. The 6-foot-9 ahead ranks tenth within the nation in scoring (21.5 factors per sport) whereas capturing 56.4% from the sphere. By two NCAA Event video games, he’s averaging 29.0 factors and eight.5 rebounds. He is capturing 66.7% from the sphere (20-of-30), 100.0% on 3-pointers (3-of-3) and 83.3% from the foul line (15-of-18). For his efforts this season, he was twice named a second-team All-American choice.

As well as, San Diego State has a protection that may swarm UConn’s offense. The Aztecs quit 66.3 factors per sport (twenty seventh within the nation) and permit opponents to shoot simply 30.8% on 3-pointers (twenty eighth). In response to KenPom, they rank twenty sixth in efficient discipline purpose proportion protection (47.1). See which staff to again at SportsLine. 

Easy methods to make UConn vs. San Diego State picks

SportsLine’s mannequin is leaning Over on the entire, projecting the groups to mix for 143 factors. The mannequin additionally says one aspect of the unfold hits in nicely over 50% of simulations. You may see the picks solely at SportsLine. 

So who wins San Diego State vs. UConn, and which aspect of the unfold hits nicely over 50% of the time? Go to SportsLine now to see which aspect of the UConn vs. San Diego State unfold it is advisable to bounce on, all from the mannequin on a 152-109 roll on its top-rated faculty basketball picks, and discover out.